Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: LUCKY FISH LUCKY BREAK MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Flying South
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Flying South         2    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   78    78           78    +0
2    Kattekwaadkwadraad   3    59.0    2    1.25     7.0   -     68           68    +68
3    Wyze Declaration     2    59.0    3    1.55     0.0   -     81           81    +81
4    Raffish Trend        2    59.0    4    3.05     0.0   -     80           80    +80
5    Pennys Choice        2    59.0    5    3.45     0.0   78    79           79    +1
6    Piteraq              2    59.0    6    4.20     0.0   -     79           79    +79
7    Without Remorse      2    59.0    7    4.60     0.0   -     78           78    +78
8    Innerbloom           3    57.5    8    5.35     7.0   -     61           61    +61
9    Lady Of Fate         3    56.0    9    5.85     7.0   47    58           58    +11
10   Redlight Lane        3    59.0    10   6.35     7.0   -     64           64    +64
11   Peaceful Duchess     3    59.0    11   11.85    7.0   -     64           64    +64
99   Blue Lagoon          3    59.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     64           64    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Flying South Line 78 70 78 -8 0.0
2 Kattekwaadkwadraad - 87 68 +19 7.0 -
3 Wyze Declaration - 82 81 +1 0.0 -
4 Raffish Trend - 73 80 -7 0.0 -
5 Pennys Choice 78 65 79 -14 0.0 -
6 Piteraq - 73 79 -6 0.0 -
7 Without Remorse - 76 78 -2 0.0 -
8 Innerbloom - 74 61 +13 7.0 -
9 Lady Of Fate 47 52 58 -6 7.0 -
10 Redlight Lane - 73 64 +9 7.0 -
11 Peaceful Duchess - 59 64 -5 7.0 -
99 Blue Lagoon - 78 64 +14 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points