Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Chance Encounter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Diogenes             2    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   74    71           71    -3
2    Lomu                 2    60.0    2    1.00     0.0   82    83           83    +1
3    Chance Encounter     2    60.0    3    1.30     0.0   82    82           82    +0
4    Greek Heiress        2    55.5    4    2.55     0.0   78    72           72    -6
5    Quiet Place          3    58.5    5    2.85     8.0   -     62           62    +62
6    Signor Dante         3    60.0    6    4.10     8.0   67    64           64    -3
7    Royal Dawn           3    57.5    7    4.30     8.0   62    58           58    -4
8    World First          2    58.5    8    5.80     0.0   -     76           76    +76
9    Man Of Devotion      3    52.0    9    7.05     8.0   54    47           47    -7
10   From The Hip         3    53.5    10   7.25     8.0   52    50           50    -2
11   Disruptive           2    48.5    11   7.75     0.0   51    56           56    +5
12   Man Of Consequence   2    57.5    12   8.75     0.0   77    74           74    -3
13   Good Shine           2    58.0    13   8.85     0.0   61    75           75    +14
14   Daniel               2    52.5    14   10.35    0.0   67    64           64    -3
15   Double Distilled     3    53.5    15   11.10    8.0   35    50           50    +15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Diogenes 74 86 71 +15 0.0 -
2 Lomu 82 82 83 -1 0.0 -
3 Chance Encounter Line 82 80 82 -2 0.0
4 Greek Heiress 78 71 72 -1 0.0 -
5 Quiet Place - 73 62 +11 8.0 -
6 Signor Dante 67 74 64 +10 8.0 -
7 Royal Dawn 62 55 58 -3 8.0 -
8 World First - 88 76 +12 0.0 -
9 Man Of Devotion 54 48 47 +1 8.0 -
10 From The Hip 52 56 50 +6 8.0 -
11 Disruptive 51 69 56 +13 0.0 -
12 Man Of Consequence 77 80 74 +6 0.0 -
13 Good Shine 61 55 75 -20 0.0 -
14 Daniel 67 64 64 ✓ Match 0.0 -
15 Double Distilled 35 52 50 +2 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points