Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: LUCKY FISH MAIDEN DASH MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
One Dance
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Veritas 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 81 81 +4 2 Gin Palace 2 58.0 2 0.50 0.0 77 86 86 +9 3 One Dance 3 60.0 3 2.50 8.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Lilting Song 2 58.0 4 2.90 0.0 79 83 83 +4 5 Her World 2 58.0 5 3.40 0.0 69 82 82 +13 6 Somebody Somewhere 3 58.0 6 3.80 8.0 - 66 66 +66 7 Woman In Gold 3 58.0 7 4.20 8.0 - 66 66 +66 8 Kisses 3 60.0 8 4.50 8.0 73 69 69 -4 9 Future Gamble 3 56.5 9 4.80 8.0 - 62 62 +62 10 Loui's Star 3 60.0 10 5.20 8.0 69 69 69 +0 11 Lebombo Gold 2 58.0 11 6.20 0.0 78 81 81 +3 12 Swift Serenity 2 58.0 12 6.70 0.0 78 81 81 +3 13 Alessia Asheville 3 56.0 13 6.75 8.0 58 61 61 +3 14 First Strike (IRE) 4 60.0 14 19.75 5.0 - 75 75 +75 99 Elisa Mbali 3 58.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Pacific Waters 2 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Market Trends 3 60.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Veritas | 77 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gin Palace | 77 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Dance Line | 71 | 82 | 71 | +11 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Lilting Song | 79 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Her World | 69 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Somebody Somewhere | - | 78 | 66 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Woman In Gold | - | 73 | 66 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kisses | 73 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Future Gamble | - | 75 | 62 | +13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Loui's Star | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lebombo Gold | 78 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Swift Serenity | 78 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Alessia Asheville | 58 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 14 | First Strike (IRE) | - | - | 75 | -75 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Elisa Mbali | - | 67 | 65 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pacific Waters | - | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Market Trends | - | 50 | 69 | -19 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points