Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Dame Of Trix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magical Place 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.5 86 94 92 +6 2 Dame Of Trix 4 58.0 2 0.05 10.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Worldly 2 60.0 3 0.25 5.5 76 94 94 +18 4 Shifting Path 2 57.5 4 1.50 5.5 71 89 89 +18 5 Easy Money 4 55.0 5 1.90 10.0 69 75 75 +6 6 Diablo 2 57.5 6 2.10 5.5 80 89 89 +9 7 Cavalry Commander 3 58.5 7 2.30 8.5 74 85 85 +11 8 Fort Red 4 52.5 8 3.05 10.0 61 70 70 +9 9 Bluff On Bluff 3 62.0 9 3.80 8.5 81 92 92 +11 10 Heritage Ridge 3 53.0 10 5.55 8.5 66 74 74 +8 11 October Storm 2 60.0 11 11.05 5.5 88 94 94 +6 99 Trippi's Silk 4 58.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magical Place | 86 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dame Of Trix Line | 81 | 90 | 81 | +9 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Worldly | 76 | 78 | 94 | -16 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shifting Path | 71 | 62 | 89 | -27 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Easy Money | 69 | 56 | 75 | -19 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Diablo | 80 | 76 | 89 | -13 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Cavalry Commander | 74 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Fort Red | 61 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bluff On Bluff | 81 | 80 | 92 | -12 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Heritage Ridge | 66 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | October Storm | 88 | 85 | 94 | -9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Trippi's Silk | - | 73 | 82 | -9 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points