Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Olivia's Way
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thunee Playa 4 52.0 1 0.00 5.0 103 116 109 +6 2 Olivia's Way 3 54.0 2 0.20 9.0 112 112 112 +0 3 Chestnut Bomber 3 50.0 3 2.40 9.0 97 108 108 +11 4 Two Miles West 3 50.0 4 5.70 9.0 93 104 104 +11 5 Son Of Raj 5 60.0 5 8.10 0.0 119 142 142 +23 6 Royal Edition 4 50.0 6 11.60 5.0 91 112 112 +21 7 Marauding Horde 4 56.0 7 17.60 5.0 112 124 124 +12 8 Future Pearl 2 58.0 8 18.00 0.0 114 138 138 +24 9 Poets Warrior 5 56.0 9 27.75 0.0 110 134 134 +24 10 Hotarubi 4 51.5 10 99.99 5.0 106 115 115 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunee Playa | 103 | 107 | 109 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Olivia's Way Line | 112 | 114 | 112 | +2 | 9.0 | ||
| 3 | Chestnut Bomber | 97 | 90 | 108 | -18 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Two Miles West | 93 | 93 | 104 | -11 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Son Of Raj | 119 | 116 | 142 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Edition | 91 | 92 | 112 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Marauding Horde | 112 | 112 | 124 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Future Pearl | 114 | 114 | 138 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Poets Warrior | 110 | 114 | 134 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Hotarubi | 106 | 98 | 115 | -17 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points