Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: LUCKY FISH MAGIC MILE D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lou Lou The Legend 3 57.0 1 0.00 7.0 57 48 48 -9 2 Joshua Hotsnake 3 61.5 2 1.00 7.0 66 61 61 -5 3 Winter Waves 7 61.0 3 1.40 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Sun Dazed 6 62.5 4 1.45 0.0 68 76 76 +8 5 Gorgeous Dude 4 55.5 5 1.75 4.5 54 53 53 -1 6 Mask On 3 60.0 6 2.65 7.0 62 56 56 -6 7 Twocantango 3 60.0 7 3.35 7.0 69 55 59 -10 8 Mac Hardy 4 61.5 8 6.85 4.5 64 62 62 -2 9 The Golden Goal 4 60.0 9 7.75 4.5 63 59 59 -4 10 Brave Voyager 3 58.5 10 8.85 7.0 58 51 51 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lou Lou The Legend | 57 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Joshua Hotsnake | 66 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Waves Line | 73 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sun Dazed | 68 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gorgeous Dude | 54 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mask On | 62 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twocantango | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mac Hardy | 64 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | The Golden Goal | 63 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Brave Voyager | 58 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points