Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Ozark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dawn's Early Light 3 62.5 1 0.00 7.0 69 58 58 -11 2 Lovers Lane 2 57.0 2 0.75 0.0 55 65 65 +10 3 Pushing Limits 3 61.0 3 0.95 7.0 70 59 60 -10 4 Ozark 4 60.0 4 1.95 4.5 61 61 61 +0 5 Siriano 2 61.5 5 2.15 0.0 80 73 73 -7 6 Champagne Mac 4 58.5 6 4.15 4.5 59 56 56 -3 7 Typically French 4 57.0 7 4.25 4.5 55 53 53 -2 8 Angel's Oasis 3 60.0 8 5.50 7.0 69 53 59 -10 9 Caribbean Gold 3 59.0 9 13.50 7.0 79 51 69 -10 10 Good To Great 3 58.5 10 13.55 7.0 59 50 50 -9 11 Stu's Girl 3 58.5 11 14.55 7.0 69 50 59 -10 99 Mariachi Madness 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Ischyro 3 54.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 42 42 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn's Early Light | 69 | 72 | 58 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lovers Lane | 55 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pushing Limits | 70 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ozark Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Siriano | 80 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Champagne Mac | 59 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Typically French | 55 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Angel's Oasis | 69 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Caribbean Gold | 79 | 82 | 69 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Good To Great | 59 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stu's Girl | 69 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mariachi Madness | - | 57 | 67 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ischyro | - | 54 | 42 | +12 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points