Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Stone Cold
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 City By The Sea 4 56.5 1 0.00 1.0 89 86 89 +0 2 Noble Sniper 3 52.0 2 0.75 2.5 84 78 78 -6 3 Irish Tractor 4 59.5 3 1.25 1.0 95 96 96 +1 4 Stone Cold 4 60.0 4 1.50 1.0 96 96 96 +0 5 Mardi Gras 7 61.5 5 1.75 0.0 102 101 101 -1 6 Nordic Rebel 8 56.5 6 3.25 0.0 89 90 90 +1 7 Theory Of Flight 4 59.0 7 8.50 1.0 94 91 91 -3 8 Noble Striker 3 59.5 8 8.75 2.5 100 89 90 -10 99 Captain Chorus 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City By The Sea | 89 | 74 | 89 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Noble Sniper | 84 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Irish Tractor | 95 | 102 | 96 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Stone Cold Line | 96 | 94 | 96 | -2 | 1.0 | ||
| 5 | Mardi Gras | 102 | 83 | 101 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nordic Rebel | 89 | 81 | 90 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Theory Of Flight | 94 | 91 | 91 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Noble Striker | 100 | 98 | 90 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Chorus | - | 67 | 89 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points