Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Outback Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Clouds Clearing 2 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 64 64 -10 2 Seafarer 3 57.0 2 0.25 9.0 - 53 53 +53 3 Pick A Pomodoro 2 58.0 3 0.50 0.0 73 78 78 +5 4 Outback Express 2 57.0 4 0.60 0.0 76 76 76 +0 5 Grey Warrior 2 57.0 5 1.85 0.0 73 74 74 +1 6 Khichdi 3 60.0 6 3.60 9.0 70 60 60 -10 7 Two For The Boys 3 57.5 7 3.70 9.0 73 55 63 -10 8 Dream Team 2 53.5 8 4.95 0.0 62 64 64 +2 9 Bomber Bay 2 60.0 9 6.70 0.0 63 77 77 +14 10 Top Dollar 5 56.0 10 7.95 0.0 50 69 69 +19 11 Lady Penny 2 49.5 11 8.00 0.0 65 56 56 -9 12 Global Scene 2 56.5 12 12.25 0.0 62 70 70 +8 13 Lightningfork 3 60.0 13 23.50 9.0 62 59 59 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clouds Clearing | 74 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Seafarer | - | 69 | 53 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pick A Pomodoro | 73 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Outback Express Line | 76 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Grey Warrior | 73 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Khichdi | 70 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Two For The Boys | 73 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dream Team | 62 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bomber Bay | 63 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Top Dollar | 50 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Penny | 65 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Global Scene | 62 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Lightningfork | 62 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points