Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Icy Lancaster
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Queen Braganza       3    56.0    1    0.00     8.5   85    74           74    -11
2    Fascination          2    49.0    2    0.70     5.5   79    66           69    -10
3    Icy Lancaster        3    57.5    3    1.30     8.5   77    77           77    +0
4    Izibulo              2    53.0    4    2.30     5.5   68    74           74    +6
5    Princess Goldie      3    56.0    5    2.60     8.5   74    74           74    +0
6    Thingamabob          3    56.5    6    3.00     8.5   75    75           75    +0
7    Are You Sure         2    56.5    7    3.05     5.5   75    81           81    +6
8    Moving In            4    58.0    8    3.55     10.0  83    75           75    -8
9    Zena Rose            3    54.5    9    3.60     8.5   76    71           71    -5
10   Emerald Green        4    54.0    10   4.60     10.0  78    67           68    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Queen Braganza 85 94 74 +20 8.5 -
2 Fascination 79 79 69 +10 5.5 -
3 Icy Lancaster Line 77 76 77 -1 8.5
4 Izibulo 68 76 74 +2 5.5 -
5 Princess Goldie 74 73 74 -1 8.5 -
6 Thingamabob 75 73 75 -2 8.5 -
7 Are You Sure 75 64 81 -17 5.5 -
8 Moving In 83 66 75 -9 10.0 -
9 Zena Rose 76 73 71 +2 8.5 -
10 Emerald Green 78 75 68 +7 10.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points