Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: BETWAY MR 106 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Birthright
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Skittles Skies 3 52.5 1 0.00 8.0 87 86 87 +0 2 Aladdin's Lamp 4 53.5 2 1.60 4.5 93 98 98 +5 3 Birthright 4 50.0 3 2.85 4.5 90 90 90 +0 4 Mastership 2 55.0 4 3.95 0.0 96 108 108 +12 5 Flashy Apache 6 52.0 5 6.15 0.0 89 101 101 +12 6 Pioneer Square 3 53.0 6 8.05 8.0 96 87 87 -9 7 Diwali Rocket 3 52.0 7 21.55 8.0 89 85 85 -4 8 Taegan's Champ 3 60.0 8 26.75 8.0 106 101 101 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skittles Skies | 87 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aladdin's Lamp | 93 | 106 | 98 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Birthright Line | 90 | 95 | 90 | +5 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Mastership | 96 | 105 | 108 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flashy Apache | 89 | 78 | 101 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pioneer Square | 96 | 101 | 87 | +14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Diwali Rocket | 89 | 89 | 85 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Taegan's Champ | 106 | 103 | 101 | +2 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points