Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 21 NOVEMBER CLASSIFIED STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Flash Lightning
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Three Cheers         3    59.0    1    0.00     8.5   78    64           64    -14
2    Flash Lightning      4    55.5    2    2.25     5.0   69    69           69    +0
3    Ginger Delight       3    58.5    3    3.25     8.5   77    66           67    -10
4    Garden Sun           3    54.0    4    3.30     8.5   70    57           60    -10
5    Canford Queen        3    50.5    5    3.80     8.5   58    49           49    -9
6    San Quintin          6    52.0    6    4.30     0.0   58    68           68    +10
7    A Bit Chilly         3    60.0    7    4.55     8.5   76    67           67    -9
8    Pardon Me            5    54.0    8    6.80     0.0   60    71           71    +11
9    King Of Victory      2    54.0    9    11.55    0.0   79    71           71    -8
10   Global Speak         3    56.5    10   14.05    8.5   67    59           59    -8
11   Stand Up             3    56.0    11   20.55    8.5   65    58           58    -7
99   Alado's Pride        7    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     84           84    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Three Cheers 78 79 64 +15 8.5 -
2 Flash Lightning Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 5.0
3 Ginger Delight 77 85 67 +18 8.5 -
4 Garden Sun 70 69 60 +9 8.5 -
5 Canford Queen 58 59 49 +10 8.5 -
6 San Quintin 58 58 68 -10 0.0 -
7 A Bit Chilly 76 73 67 +6 8.5 -
8 Pardon Me 60 53 71 -18 0.0 -
9 King Of Victory 79 77 71 +6 0.0 -
10 Global Speak 67 64 59 +5 8.5 -
11 Stand Up 65 62 58 +4 8.5 -
99 Alado's Pride - 73 84 -11 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points