Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
December Dawn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dame Of Trix 4 59.5 1 0.00 9.0 81 73 73 -8 2 October Fest 2 55.5 2 0.05 5.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Peace Of Mind 3 57.5 3 1.80 7.5 80 72 72 -8 4 December Dawn 2 59.0 4 2.00 5.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Love Shack 2 57.5 5 2.40 5.0 77 77 77 +0 6 Easy Money 4 53.5 6 3.65 9.0 68 61 61 -7 7 Exceedingly Glam 3 57.5 7 4.90 7.5 85 72 75 -10 8 Lhasa 2 57.5 8 9.15 5.0 77 77 77 +0 9 Inside Voice 2 59.0 9 10.40 5.0 90 80 80 -10 10 Marketa 2 51.0 10 17.65 5.0 82 64 72 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dame Of Trix | 81 | 90 | 73 | +17 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | October Fest | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Peace Of Mind | 80 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | December Dawn Line | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Love Shack | 77 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Easy Money | 68 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Exceedingly Glam | 85 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lhasa | 77 | 65 | 77 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Inside Voice | 90 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Marketa | 82 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points