Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WIN A JETOUR X70 ON 29 NOVEMBER MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Lance Alot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tommy Atkins 3 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 - -12 - +0 2 Agoge 3 58.0 2 0.20 6.0 - -12 - +0 3 Force Publique 2 58.0 3 0.45 0.0 75 5 65 -10 4 Gimmethespotlight 3 56.5 4 3.05 6.0 - -13 - +0 5 Lance Alot 2 58.0 5 6.25 0.0 - - - +0 6 Storm Burst 2 58.0 6 8.00 0.0 73 - 68 -5 7 Smuggler 3 58.0 7 9.70 6.0 - -12 - +0 8 Gunboat 3 58.0 8 11.50 6.0 - -12 - +0 9 Elusive Glow 3 54.0 9 18.25 6.0 - -20 - +0 10 Scott's Guard 2 58.0 10 19.50 0.0 66 - 57 -9 11 New Life 3 60.0 11 19.80 6.0 49 -8 39 -10 12 Abbey Sniper 2 58.0 12 21.50 0.0 - - - +0 99 Say A Wish 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - -6 -6 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Atkins | - | 83 | - | +83 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Agoge | - | 91 | - | +91 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Force Publique | 75 | 84 | 65 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gimmethespotlight | - | 80 | - | +80 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lance Alot Line | - | 68 | - | +68 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Storm Burst | 73 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smuggler | - | 68 | - | +68 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gunboat | - | 74 | - | +74 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Elusive Glow | - | 73 | - | +73 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Scott's Guard | 66 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | New Life | 49 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Abbey Sniper | - | 44 | - | +44 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Say A Wish | - | 73 | -6 | +79 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points