Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Gilded Butterfly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 High Born Lady 4 55.5 1 0.00 1.0 68 72 68 +0 2 Gilded Butterfly 3 57.5 2 1.25 2.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Halloween 4 56.0 3 3.25 1.0 69 75 75 +6 4 Rose Willow 4 50.5 4 4.50 1.0 57 62 62 +5 5 Sister Light 3 60.0 5 6.50 2.5 82 78 78 -4 6 Kind Judy 4 52.5 6 6.75 1.0 65 66 66 +1 7 Mode 4 50.5 7 8.50 1.0 61 62 62 +1 8 So They Say 4 56.5 8 12.50 1.0 70 74 74 +4 9 Dame Of Flames 3 57.0 9 17.00 2.5 76 72 72 -4 10 Twice The Act 4 59.0 10 17.25 1.0 75 79 79 +4 11 Indigo Winter 3 55.0 11 17.50 2.5 72 68 68 -4 12 Tallinn 5 55.0 12 18.50 0.0 66 73 73 +7 13 Watching Closely 4 52.0 13 20.50 1.0 54 65 65 +11 14 Savage Love 3 52.0 14 24.50 2.5 56 62 62 +6 15 Wonderful Rock 5 52.0 15 26.00 0.0 57 67 67 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Born Lady | 68 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gilded Butterfly Line | 77 | 108 | 77 | +31 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Halloween | 69 | 84 | 75 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rose Willow | 57 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sister Light | 82 | 96 | 78 | +18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kind Judy | 65 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mode | 61 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | So They Say | 70 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dame Of Flames | 76 | 95 | 72 | +23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Twice The Act | 75 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Indigo Winter | 72 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Tallinn | 66 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Watching Closely | 54 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Savage Love | 56 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Wonderful Rock | 57 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points