Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: LUCKY FISH LIGHTNING ROULETTE B STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Umfula
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Regulation 3 58.5 1 0.00 8.0 93 92 92 -1 2 Umfula 3 55.5 2 4.50 8.0 86 86 86 +0 3 Spirit Of Levana 3 51.5 3 4.90 8.0 82 78 78 -4 4 Future Free 2 52.5 4 5.90 0.0 89 96 96 +7 5 Blackberry Malt 5 61.5 5 6.90 0.0 96 114 114 +18 6 Pinot Grigio 3 60.0 6 7.10 8.0 95 95 95 +0 7 Strawberry Thief 3 54.5 7 8.85 8.0 89 84 84 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regulation | 93 | 105 | 92 | +13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Umfula Line | 86 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Spirit Of Levana | 82 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Future Free | 89 | 89 | 96 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blackberry Malt | 96 | 82 | 114 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pinot Grigio | 95 | 93 | 95 | -2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Strawberry Thief | 89 | 89 | 84 | +5 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points