Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: LUCKY FISH MONOPOLY LIVE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Siriano
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Paratrooper 4 60.0 1 0.00 9.0 70 72 72 +2 2 Siriano 2 60.0 2 0.75 5.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Trippi's Silk 4 61.5 3 1.05 9.0 73 75 75 +2 4 Commanding 3 62.0 4 1.55 7.5 74 79 79 +5 4 Umzingeli Wenyathi 2 58.0 4 1.55 5.0 84 76 76 -8 6 Gallic Forge 2 61.0 6 2.55 5.0 72 82 82 +10 7 Why Not Jackie 5 59.0 7 3.55 0.0 68 88 88 +20 8 Shifting Path 2 60.0 8 4.05 5.0 70 80 80 +10 9 Mont Loisir 4 60.5 9 7.05 9.0 71 73 73 +2 10 Mariachi Madness 2 55.5 10 8.80 5.0 61 71 71 +10 11 Hear My Voice 2 54.0 11 9.55 5.0 58 68 68 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paratrooper | 70 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Siriano Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Trippi's Silk | 73 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Commanding | 74 | 70 | 79 | -9 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Umzingeli Wenyathi | 84 | 90 | 76 | +14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gallic Forge | 72 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Why Not Jackie | 68 | 65 | 88 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shifting Path | 70 | 62 | 80 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mont Loisir | 71 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mariachi Madness | 61 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hear My Voice | 58 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points