Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Flo 4 62.5 1 0.00 4.0 82 72 72 -10 2 Wissa's On Fire 4 60.0 2 0.40 4.0 74 67 67 -7 3 Teriyaki 4 56.0 3 1.60 4.0 75 59 65 -10 4 Bless Me Fred 6 58.5 4 2.00 0.0 71 72 72 +1 5 Trafalgar Square 6 58.5 5 2.15 0.0 72 72 72 +0 6 Who Blinked 3 60.0 6 2.45 3.5 80 68 70 -10 7 Warrior Of Royalty 4 60.0 7 3.55 4.0 82 67 72 -10 8 B Fiftytwo 4 56.0 8 4.05 4.0 75 59 65 -10 9 Good Living 3 60.0 9 6.45 3.5 79 68 69 -10 10 Philispiel 7 61.5 10 10.05 0.0 77 78 78 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Flo | 82 | 95 | 72 | +23 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wissa's On Fire | 74 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Teriyaki | 75 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bless Me Fred | 71 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trafalgar Square Line | 72 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Who Blinked | 80 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Warrior Of Royalty | 82 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | B Fiftytwo | 75 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Good Living | 79 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Philispiel | 77 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points