Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Laguna Verde
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buffalo Bill 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 93 80 93 +0 2 Laguna Verde 5 60.0 2 3.75 0.0 86 86 86 +0 3 Avernian Goddess 3 59.5 3 4.75 6.0 85 72 75 -10 4 Hospices De Beaune 3 52.0 4 5.75 6.0 70 57 60 -10 5 Global State 2 55.5 5 7.00 0.0 82 76 76 -6 6 Masked Vigilante 3 57.5 6 9.25 6.0 81 68 71 -10 7 William The First 2 52.0 7 11.50 0.0 78 69 69 -9 8 Sovereigns Call 4 55.0 8 12.75 3.5 76 68 68 -8 9 Dowser 5 59.0 9 14.00 0.0 84 83 83 -1 10 The Winter Lake 4 62.5 10 15.75 3.5 91 83 83 -8 11 Real War 2 56.0 11 21.00 0.0 78 77 77 -1 99 Big Boy Bruce 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bill | 93 | 107 | 93 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Laguna Verde Line | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Avernian Goddess | 85 | 91 | 75 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hospices De Beaune | 70 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global State | 82 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Masked Vigilante | 81 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | William The First | 78 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sovereigns Call | 76 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dowser | 84 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | The Winter Lake | 91 | 87 | 83 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Real War | 78 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Big Boy Bruce | - | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points