Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 5 DECEMBER MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Das Gute
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chocolate Bomb 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 76 67 +0 2 Wild Fig 2 58.5 2 1.00 0.0 81 82 82 +1 3 Das Gute 4 59.5 3 2.25 3.5 76 76 76 +0 4 Moola Man 4 57.5 4 2.75 3.5 75 71 71 -4 5 Potent Captain 4 53.0 5 3.75 3.5 58 61 61 +3 6 Captain Clever 2 58.5 6 4.25 0.0 69 79 79 +10 7 Grand Allegro 3 61.0 7 5.75 6.0 74 71 71 -3 8 Burning Man 3 63.0 8 6.50 6.0 78 75 75 -3 9 Bandmaster 3 56.0 9 7.00 6.0 64 61 61 -3 10 Pibe De Oro 3 58.0 10 7.25 6.0 68 65 65 -3 11 Tokyo Medaglia 3 59.0 11 8.00 6.0 70 67 67 -3 12 Explosive Speed 2 60.0 12 11.25 0.0 72 81 81 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chocolate Bomb | 67 | 82 | 67 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wild Fig | 81 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Das Gute Line | 76 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Moola Man | 75 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Potent Captain | 58 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Clever | 69 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Grand Allegro | 74 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Burning Man | 78 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bandmaster | 64 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Pibe De Oro | 68 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tokyo Medaglia | 70 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Explosive Speed | 72 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points