Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Blind Speed
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Siberian Winter 3 59.5 1 0.00 6.0 72 54 54 -18 2 Clickbait 3 60.5 2 0.50 6.0 71 61 61 -10 3 Blind Speed 2 59.5 3 1.40 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Beautiful Rania 3 55.0 4 1.50 6.0 68 48 58 -10 5 Mountainsofthemoon 2 58.0 5 2.60 0.0 66 65 65 -1 6 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 53.0 6 3.80 6.0 64 42 54 -10 7 Poursomesugaronme 5 63.0 7 5.80 0.0 76 73 73 -3 8 The Queen Bee 4 52.5 8 6.30 3.5 60 45 50 -10 9 Fate Decreed 3 54.5 9 6.50 6.0 59 44 49 -10 10 Sanbeenee 2 58.5 10 9.40 0.0 67 64 64 -3 11 Flying Reign Storm 3 56.0 11 11.70 6.0 62 47 52 -10 12 Queen Of The Spear 2 58.0 12 14.80 0.0 78 63 68 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siberian Winter | 72 | 79 | 54 | +25 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Clickbait | 71 | 73 | 61 | +12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Blind Speed Line | 69 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Beautiful Rania | 68 | 72 | 58 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mountainsofthemoon | 66 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 64 | 62 | 54 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Poursomesugaronme | 76 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Queen Bee | 60 | 53 | 50 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Fate Decreed | 59 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sanbeenee | 67 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Reign Storm | 62 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Queen Of The Spear | 78 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points