Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ellis Island
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fat Cigar 4 54.0 1 0.00 1.5 62 57 62 +0 2 Jack And Ginger 4 54.5 2 0.25 1.5 63 58 58 -5 3 Light Without 4 52.5 3 0.75 1.5 59 60 60 +1 4 Almighwaar 3 53.0 4 1.25 3.5 67 57 57 -10 5 This Generation 3 56.0 5 2.00 3.5 73 62 63 -10 6 Ellis Island 4 56.0 6 2.10 1.5 66 66 66 +0 7 Bold Strike 5 54.0 7 3.35 0.0 65 63 63 -2 8 Port Key 6 55.5 8 4.10 0.0 65 65 65 +0 9 Assured 4 60.5 9 4.35 1.5 75 71 71 -4 10 Flying Pekan 4 54.0 10 4.60 1.5 62 58 58 -4 11 Last Of The Legend 6 58.5 11 6.35 0.0 71 69 69 -2 12 Grey Princess 6 55.5 12 6.45 0.0 64 63 63 -1 13 Bringbackthemoney 4 52.5 13 13.20 1.5 59 54 54 -5 14 Savannah Buddy 4 56.5 14 13.45 1.5 67 62 62 -5 15 Take The World 5 56.5 15 13.95 0.0 70 65 65 -5 16 Cape Point 4 53.5 16 14.45 1.5 61 56 56 -5 99 Augusta Green 3 53.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 51 51 +0 99 American Landing 7 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fat Cigar | 62 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Jack And Ginger | 63 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Light Without | 59 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Almighwaar | 67 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | This Generation | 73 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ellis Island Line | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 7 | Bold Strike | 65 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Port Key | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Assured | 75 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Flying Pekan | 62 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Last Of The Legend | 71 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Grey Princess | 64 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Bringbackthemoney | 59 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Savannah Buddy | 67 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Take The World | 70 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Cape Point | 61 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Augusta Green | - | 61 | 51 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | American Landing | - | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points