Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: LUCKY FISH LUCKY BREAK OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Blue Steel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Sommerstern          4    61.0    1    0.00     3.0   67    72           70    +3
2    Prairie Dawn         3    59.5    2    1.25     6.0   -     67           67    +67
3    Waloyo Yamoni        2    56.0    3    1.65     0.0   69    71           71    +2
4    Spanish Verse        3    57.0    4    2.05     6.0   71    61           61    -10
5    Blue Steel           2    60.0    5    3.55     0.0   77    77           77    +0
6    Royal Dawn           3    57.5    6    5.30     6.0   60    59           59    -1
7    Disruptive           2    48.5    7    8.55     0.0   54    53           53    -1
8    The Big Bang         3    52.5    8    8.95     6.0   58    49           49    -9
9    Wonderful Tonight    2    60.0    9    9.95     0.0   77    76           76    -1
10   Backinthefastlane    2    59.5    10   10.35    0.0   -     75           75    +75
11   Without Hesitation   2    48.0    11   10.85    0.0   58    52           52    -6
12   See The Sign         3    49.0    12   12.35    6.0   48    42           42    -6
13   Larking About        3    49.0    13   12.65    6.0   55    42           45    -10
14   O'Fellow             2    59.5    14   14.65    0.0   -     75           75    +75
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sommerstern 67 79 70 +9 3.0 -
2 Prairie Dawn - 89 67 +22 6.0 -
3 Waloyo Yamoni 69 76 71 +5 0.0 -
4 Spanish Verse 71 75 61 +14 6.0 -
5 Blue Steel Line 77 82 77 +5 0.0
6 Royal Dawn 60 55 59 -4 6.0 -
7 Disruptive 54 69 53 +16 0.0 -
8 The Big Bang 58 75 49 +26 6.0 -
9 Wonderful Tonight 77 72 76 -4 0.0 -
10 Backinthefastlane - 66 75 -9 0.0 -
11 Without Hesitation 58 58 52 +6 0.0 -
12 See The Sign 48 54 42 +12 6.0 -
13 Larking About 55 55 45 +10 6.0 -
14 O'Fellow - 62 75 -13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points