Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Grey Warrior
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Welsh Starlet 3 48.0 1 0.00 8.0 53 35 35 -18 2 Grey Warrior 2 56.0 2 2.25 0.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Mont Tremblant 3 56.5 3 5.75 8.0 59 52 52 -7 4 Two For The Boys 3 57.0 4 7.75 8.0 68 53 58 -10 5 Pick A Pomodoro 2 58.0 5 14.00 0.0 76 71 71 -5 6 Fort Impreza 3 57.0 6 15.50 8.0 60 53 53 -7 7 Bugle 2 55.5 7 20.25 0.0 71 66 66 -5 8 Free To Run 2 52.0 8 29.50 0.0 68 59 59 -9 9 Nuclear Power 2 48.5 9 99.99 0.0 65 52 55 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welsh Starlet | 53 | 63 | 35 | +28 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Grey Warrior Line | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mont Tremblant | 59 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Two For The Boys | 68 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pick A Pomodoro | 76 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fort Impreza | 60 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bugle | 71 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Free To Run | 68 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Nuclear Power | 65 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points