Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Chara Sands
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 United Nation 3 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 79 78 78 -1 2 Rainbow Reward 5 62.5 2 0.30 0.0 90 97 97 +7 3 Chara Sands 3 55.5 3 2.00 6.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Mfethu 2 60.0 4 2.30 4.0 84 84 84 +0 5 Barry Du Grond 3 55.5 5 2.60 6.0 68 71 71 +3 6 Trafalgar Square 6 54.5 6 4.30 0.0 70 81 81 +11 7 Intrepid 3 58.5 7 4.90 6.0 72 77 77 +5 8 Axis Power 3 57.0 8 6.30 6.0 69 74 74 +5 9 Trippi T 3 60.0 9 16.70 6.0 75 80 80 +5 99 Fate Of Fortune 3 61.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Nation | 79 | 89 | 78 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rainbow Reward | 90 | 89 | 97 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Chara Sands Line | 71 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Mfethu | 84 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Barry Du Grond | 68 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trafalgar Square | 70 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Intrepid | 72 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Axis Power | 69 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trippi T | 75 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fate Of Fortune | - | 77 | 83 | -6 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points