Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: LUCKY FISH TURF LUCK MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Elusive Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Demanding Dave       2    55.5    1    0.00     4.0   94    103          100   +6
2    Elusive Winter       4    56.0    2    0.30     7.0   98    98           98    +0
3    Worldly              2    51.0    3    0.50     4.0   76    94           94    +18
4    Magical Place        2    55.5    4    2.75     4.0   92    103          103   +11
5    Winter Snap          2    61.5    5    4.00     4.0   108   115          115   +7
6    Black Cheetah        2    57.0    6    4.40     4.0   97    106          106   +9
7    October Storm        2    54.0    7    8.65     4.0   88    100          100   +12
8    Military Command     2    60.0    8    9.05     4.0   103   112          112   +9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Demanding Dave 94 102 100 +2 4.0 -
2 Elusive Winter Line 98 104 98 +6 7.0
3 Worldly 76 78 94 -16 4.0 -
4 Magical Place 92 92 103 -11 4.0 -
5 Winter Snap 108 108 115 -7 4.0 -
6 Black Cheetah 97 91 106 -15 4.0 -
7 October Storm 88 85 100 -15 4.0 -
8 Military Command 103 85 112 -27 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points