Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Chance Encounter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Chance Encounter     2    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   80    80           80    +0
2    Frequent Traveller   3    59.0    2    1.25     6.0   71    72           72    +1
3    Fort Liam            3    59.0    3    1.75     6.0   79    71           71    -8
4    Caesar's Ransom      2    59.0    4    2.15     0.0   76    83           83    +7
5    Mercenary            3    59.0    5    3.90     6.0   -     69           69    +69
6    Trip To Camelot      3    59.0    6    5.15     6.0   -     68           68    +68
7    Super Viking         3    59.0    7    5.20     6.0   78    68           68    -10
8    Fear Of Fire         2    59.0    8    5.95     0.0   74    80           80    +6
9    Lomu                 2    59.0    9    7.45     0.0   82    80           80    -2
10   Perfect Impact       3    60.0    10   7.65     6.0   72    70           70    -2
11   Quiet Place          3    59.0    11   7.70     6.0   -     68           68    +68
12   Ready For The Road   3    57.5    12   9.70     6.0   -     65           65    +65
13   Charlie Bucket       3    60.0    13   10.70    6.0   72    70           70    -2
14   Straight Red         3    59.0    14   99.99    6.0   -     68           68    +68
99   Nomore Bullets       2    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     80           80    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Chance Encounter Line 80 80 80 ✓ Match 0.0
2 Frequent Traveller 71 72 72 ✓ Match 6.0 -
3 Fort Liam 79 81 71 +10 6.0 -
4 Caesar's Ransom 76 76 83 -7 0.0 -
5 Mercenary - 78 69 +9 6.0 -
6 Trip To Camelot - 74 68 +6 6.0 -
7 Super Viking 78 77 68 +9 6.0 -
8 Fear Of Fire 74 72 80 -8 0.0 -
9 Lomu 82 82 80 +2 0.0 -
10 Perfect Impact 72 70 70 ✓ Match 6.0 -
11 Quiet Place - 73 68 +5 6.0 -
12 Ready For The Road - 68 65 +3 6.0 -
13 Charlie Bucket 72 69 70 -1 6.0 -
14 Straight Red - 51 68 -17 6.0 -
99 Nomore Bullets - 73 80 -7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points