Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets CAPE GUINEAS (Grade 1) (For 3 year-old horses)
Line Horse
Jan Van Goyen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jan Van Goyen 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 118 118 118 +0 2 Happy Verse 2 60.0 2 2.75 0.0 103 120 120 +17 3 Randolph Hearst 2 60.0 3 3.05 0.0 106 120 120 +14 4 Gimmie Rules 2 60.0 4 3.35 0.0 102 119 119 +17 5 Fox On The Run 3 60.0 5 3.40 6.0 95 107 107 +12 6 Star Major 2 60.0 6 3.45 0.0 101 119 119 +18 7 Roland Garros 2 60.0 7 4.45 0.0 106 118 118 +12 8 Pay The Palace 2 60.0 8 5.70 0.0 105 118 118 +13 9 Beware 3 60.0 9 6.70 6.0 91 106 106 +15 10 Malmesbury Missile 2 60.0 10 7.70 0.0 110 118 118 +8 11 Aversator 2 60.0 11 7.90 0.0 102 118 118 +16 12 Vapour Trail 2 60.0 12 8.30 0.0 107 118 118 +11 13 Aristocratic 2 60.0 13 10.05 0.0 103 118 118 +15 14 Absolutely Yes 2 60.0 14 11.30 0.0 103 118 118 +15 15 Good For You 2 60.0 15 16.30 0.0 110 118 118 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan Van Goyen Line | 118 | 118 | 118 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Happy Verse | 103 | 113 | 120 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Randolph Hearst | 106 | 112 | 120 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gimmie Rules | 102 | 111 | 119 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fox On The Run | 95 | 110 | 107 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Star Major | 101 | 114 | 119 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Roland Garros | 106 | 108 | 118 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pay The Palace | 105 | 104 | 118 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Beware | 91 | 103 | 106 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Malmesbury Missile | 110 | 110 | 118 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Aversator | 102 | 97 | 118 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Vapour Trail | 107 | 107 | 118 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Aristocratic | 103 | 101 | 118 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Absolutely Yes | 103 | 99 | 118 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Good For You | 110 | 110 | 118 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points