Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Night Tiger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Arverni Princess     2    56.5    1    0.00     4.0   64    48           48    -16
2    Night Tiger          5    62.0    2    1.00     0.0   67    67           67    +0
3    William West         2    54.0    3    1.05     4.0   51    43           43    -8
4    Grand Force          3    57.5    4    1.35     6.0   66    46           56    -10
5    Cappellino           3    58.5    5    1.75     6.0   58    48           48    -10
6    Kaapse Klopse        2    58.5    6    2.00     4.0   60    52           52    -8
7    Yannakis             2    57.5    7    2.10     4.0   65    50           55    -10
8    Purple Powahouse     8    58.5    8    3.20     0.0   58    60           60    +2
9    Bless Me Fred        6    60.0    9    3.60     0.0   66    63           63    -3
10   Little Cracker       3    59.0    10   4.00     6.0   66    49           56    -10
11   Whereverilaymyhat    4    55.5    11   4.50     7.0   54    40           44    -10
12   Lightning Jimmy      4    52.5    12   6.20     7.0   48    34           38    -10
13   Ndaka                3    60.0    13   6.60     6.0   63    51           53    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Arverni Princess 64 67 48 +19 4.0 -
2 Night Tiger Line 67 67 67 ✓ Match 0.0
3 William West 51 51 43 +8 4.0 -
4 Grand Force 66 54 56 -2 6.0 -
5 Cappellino 58 61 48 +13 6.0 -
6 Kaapse Klopse 60 60 52 +8 4.0 -
7 Yannakis 65 67 55 +12 4.0 -
8 Purple Powahouse 58 55 60 -5 0.0 -
9 Bless Me Fred 66 62 63 -1 0.0 -
10 Little Cracker 66 61 56 +5 6.0 -
11 Whereverilaymyhat 54 68 44 +24 7.0 -
12 Lightning Jimmy 48 48 38 +10 7.0 -
13 Ndaka 63 61 53 +8 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points