Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: DARE 2 DREAM RACING SYNDICATE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
District Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ocean Sky 3 61.5 1 0.00 5.0 71 68 68 -3 2 Blizzardboy 2 58.0 2 1.25 0.0 74 75 75 +1 3 District Master 3 58.5 3 1.75 5.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Bonelli 2 59.5 4 1.85 0.0 - 77 77 +77 5 Elisa Mbali 3 56.0 5 2.25 5.0 75 60 65 -10 6 Raffish Trend 2 54.5 6 5.00 0.0 71 64 64 -7 7 Forever Red 3 59.5 7 5.50 5.0 - 64 64 +64 8 Master Coiner 3 59.5 8 5.55 5.0 - 64 64 +64 9 Madra Rua (IRE) 2 61.0 9 9.05 0.0 80 77 77 -3 99 No Pressure 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Royal Dawn 3 50.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 46 46 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ocean Sky | 71 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Blizzardboy | 74 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | District Master Line | 65 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Bonelli | - | 83 | 77 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Elisa Mbali | 75 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Raffish Trend | 71 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Forever Red | - | 69 | 64 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Master Coiner | - | - | 64 | -64 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Madra Rua (IRE) | 80 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | No Pressure | - | 75 | 57 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Royal Dawn | - | 55 | 46 | +9 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points