Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB 4RACING APP FM 92 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
State Secret
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Baie Mooi 3 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 90 80 90 +0 2 Avernian Goddess 3 56.5 2 2.25 5.0 85 78 78 -7 3 State Secret 2 56.5 3 5.25 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Bosnay 4 48.0 4 7.50 3.0 76 62 66 -10 5 Jet Lavish 3 51.0 5 8.00 5.0 82 64 72 -10 6 First Wish 3 56.0 6 9.25 5.0 84 74 74 -10 7 Augusta Rosso 2 52.0 7 9.75 0.0 86 76 76 -10 8 Montelena 4 61.0 8 9.80 3.0 94 88 88 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baie Mooi | 90 | 98 | 90 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Avernian Goddess | 85 | 91 | 78 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | State Secret Line | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Bosnay | 76 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Lavish | 82 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | First Wish | 84 | 86 | 74 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Augusta Rosso | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Montelena | 94 | 90 | 88 | +2 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points