Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CENTENARY CLUB D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
The Night Ferry
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Devil A Saint 4 61.5 1 0.00 3.0 65 68 68 +3 2 The Night Ferry 3 60.0 2 1.00 6.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Gold Index 3 51.5 3 1.30 6.0 53 45 45 -8 4 Mela Strength 3 60.0 4 3.05 6.0 63 61 61 -2 5 Avignon 4 57.0 5 3.25 3.0 56 61 61 +5 6 Disruptive 2 50.0 6 11.25 0.0 54 51 51 -3 99 Nomore Bullets 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devil A Saint | 65 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Night Ferry Line | 63 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Gold Index | 53 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mela Strength | 63 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Avignon | 56 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Disruptive | 54 | 69 | 51 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Nomore Bullets | - | 73 | 63 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points