Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FLAMBOYANT STAKES (Listed) (For Fillies and Mares at Weight for Age)
Line Horse
Forward Motion
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ladyofdistinction 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 89 103 95 +6 2 Amelia's Legacy 3 55.0 2 0.25 6.0 86 88 88 +2 3 Forward Motion 3 57.5 3 0.35 6.0 98 98 98 +0 4 Tomyris 4 57.5 4 1.15 3.0 95 103 103 +8 5 Ice Rain 4 58.5 5 1.40 3.0 101 104 104 +3 6 Lucrative 2 58.5 6 3.20 0.0 101 109 109 +8 7 Limitless Sky 2 56.0 7 4.50 0.0 96 102 102 +6 8 Regeneration 3 58.5 8 6.40 6.0 108 95 98 -10 9 Perilla 5 57.5 9 6.50 0.0 91 105 105 +14 99 Jazz Cafe 3 56.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 91 91 +0 99 Gimmefabulous 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 98 98 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladyofdistinction | 89 | 95 | 95 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Amelia's Legacy | 86 | 92 | 88 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Forward Motion Line | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Tomyris | 95 | 93 | 103 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ice Rain | 101 | 101 | 104 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lucrative | 101 | 98 | 109 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Limitless Sky | 96 | 98 | 102 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Regeneration | 108 | 105 | 98 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Perilla | 91 | 89 | 105 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jazz Cafe | - | 82 | 91 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gimmefabulous | - | 103 | 98 | +5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points