Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)

Line Horse
Lou Lou The Legend
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    L'Ultimo             2    55.5    1    0.00     4.0   55    58           58    +3
2    Lou Lou The Legend   3    58.5    2    0.10     6.0   60    60           60    +0
3    Professor Lupin      4    60.0    3    0.35     7.0   62    61           61    -1
4    Acacia's Blossom     2    60.0    4    0.75     4.0   68    67           67    -1
4    Cappellino           3    58.5    4    0.75     6.0   58    60           60    +2
6    Indecent Proposal    4    60.0    6    1.15     7.0   63    61           61    -2
7    Mask On              3    58.5    7    1.35     6.0   59    60           60    +1
8    Little Cracker       3    59.0    8    1.45     6.0   65    61           61    -4
9    Count Marsh          7    53.0    9    3.45     0.0   54    61           61    +7
10   Purple Powahouse     8    57.0    10   4.55     0.0   57    69           69    +12
11   Fine Dining          3    61.5    11   5.85     6.0   66    66           66    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 L'Ultimo 55 61 58 +3 4.0 -
2 Lou Lou The Legend Line 60 59 60 -1 6.0
3 Professor Lupin 62 67 61 +6 7.0 -
4 Acacia's Blossom 68 66 67 -1 4.0 -
4 Cappellino 58 61 60 +1 6.0 -
6 Indecent Proposal 63 65 61 +4 7.0 -
7 Mask On 59 52 60 -8 6.0 -
8 Little Cracker 65 61 61 ✓ Match 6.0 -
9 Count Marsh 54 52 61 -9 0.0 -
10 Purple Powahouse 57 55 69 -14 0.0 -
11 Fine Dining 66 66 66 ✓ Match 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points