Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Lou Lou The Legend
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 L'Ultimo 2 55.5 1 0.00 4.0 55 58 58 +3 2 Lou Lou The Legend 3 58.5 2 0.10 6.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Professor Lupin 4 60.0 3 0.35 7.0 62 61 61 -1 4 Acacia's Blossom 2 60.0 4 0.75 4.0 68 67 67 -1 4 Cappellino 3 58.5 4 0.75 6.0 58 60 60 +2 6 Indecent Proposal 4 60.0 6 1.15 7.0 63 61 61 -2 7 Mask On 3 58.5 7 1.35 6.0 59 60 60 +1 8 Little Cracker 3 59.0 8 1.45 6.0 65 61 61 -4 9 Count Marsh 7 53.0 9 3.45 0.0 54 61 61 +7 10 Purple Powahouse 8 57.0 10 4.55 0.0 57 69 69 +12 11 Fine Dining 3 61.5 11 5.85 6.0 66 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Ultimo | 55 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lou Lou The Legend Line | 60 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Professor Lupin | 62 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Acacia's Blossom | 68 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cappellino | 58 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Indecent Proposal | 63 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mask On | 59 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Little Cracker | 65 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Count Marsh | 54 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Purple Powahouse | 57 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Fine Dining | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points