Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BET WITH TOTE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Black Frost
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Black Frost 2 58.5 1 0.00 3.5 76 76 76 +0 2 War Emperor 3 60.0 2 1.80 5.0 - 76 76 +76 3 Nebulous 2 55.0 3 2.20 3.5 76 69 69 -7 4 Green Ticket 3 60.0 4 2.30 5.0 - 76 76 +76 5 Hey Diddle Diddle 3 57.5 5 3.10 5.0 - 71 71 +71 6 Mount Kennedy 3 60.0 6 5.10 5.0 66 76 76 +10 7 Captain T 3 60.0 7 10.10 5.0 - 76 76 +76 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Frost Line | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 2 | War Emperor | - | 74 | 76 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Nebulous | 76 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Green Ticket | - | 68 | 76 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hey Diddle Diddle | - | 68 | 71 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mount Kennedy | 66 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain T | - | 57 | 76 | -19 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points