Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Mont Tremblant
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tori's Girl 3 52.0 1 0.00 7.0 53 47 47 -6 2 Terminal Velocity 2 59.0 2 1.75 0.0 68 80 80 +12 3 Mont Tremblant 3 55.5 3 3.50 7.0 57 57 57 +0 4 Sugar Baby Love 3 48.0 4 10.75 7.0 66 39 56 -10 5 Nuclear Power 2 53.5 5 16.00 0.0 65 64 64 -1 6 Two For The Boys 3 56.0 6 25.00 7.0 66 55 56 -10 99 Aethelwulf 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tori's Girl | 53 | 59 | 47 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Terminal Velocity | 68 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mont Tremblant Line | 57 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Sugar Baby Love | 66 | 67 | 56 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nuclear Power | 65 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Two For The Boys | 66 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Aethelwulf | - | 66 | 68 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points