Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 16 JANUARY FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Blue Palace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Bomber 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 74 73 74 +0 2 Kamakazi 4 58.5 2 3.25 2.5 71 75 75 +4 3 Blue Palace 2 54.5 3 3.50 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Sun Spectacular 4 58.5 4 3.60 2.5 71 74 74 +3 5 Saigon Suzie 3 61.0 5 3.70 4.0 76 76 76 +0 6 Umzolozolo 2 60.5 6 5.45 0.0 75 82 82 +7 7 Jet Lavish 3 60.0 7 5.55 4.0 82 73 73 -9 8 Darling Girl 2 50.5 8 5.80 0.0 52 62 62 +10 9 Jambo Sana 2 60.5 9 8.05 0.0 75 82 82 +7 10 Princess Of Bayeux 2 61.0 10 12.55 0.0 76 83 83 +7 99 Dynasty's Last 5 49.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Lady Luck 4 57.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Bomber | 74 | 87 | 74 | +13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kamakazi | 71 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Blue Palace Line | 71 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sun Spectacular | 71 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Saigon Suzie | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Umzolozolo | 75 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Lavish | 82 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Darling Girl | 52 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jambo Sana | 75 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Princess Of Bayeux | 76 | 75 | 83 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dynasty's Last | - | 61 | 60 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Luck | - | 66 | 70 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points