Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: EPSOM RACECOURSE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Good Omen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Penan Nom 2 48.0 1 0.00 3.5 62 58 58 -4 2 Good Omen 2 57.0 2 1.30 3.5 76 76 76 +0 3 Etzebeth 3 60.5 3 1.90 5.0 - 80 80 +80 4 Light The Fire 2 56.0 4 2.20 3.5 71 74 74 +3 5 Winding Power 2 54.5 5 2.45 3.5 73 71 71 -2 6 Sargasso Sea 3 52.5 6 3.35 5.0 69 64 64 -5 7 Sail The Horizon 3 60.5 7 6.45 5.0 - 80 80 +80 8 William Of Orange 2 56.0 8 8.75 3.5 71 74 74 +3 9 Play World 3 60.5 9 11.85 5.0 - 80 80 +80 10 Levitator 5 50.5 10 12.15 0.0 61 70 70 +9 11 Full Monty 3 60.5 11 13.35 5.0 - 80 80 +80 12 Camogie 3 60.5 12 18.45 5.0 - 80 80 +80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penan Nom | 62 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Good Omen Line | 76 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Etzebeth | - | 75 | 80 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Light The Fire | 71 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Winding Power | 73 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sargasso Sea | 69 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sail The Horizon | - | 75 | 80 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | William Of Orange | 71 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Play World | - | - | 80 | -80 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Levitator | 61 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Full Monty | - | 70 | 80 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Camogie | - | 78 | 80 | -2 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points