Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: MICHAEL ROBERTS STAKES (For All Horses. Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
French Trip
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Down By The River 2 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 89 93 93 +4 2 Queue Wing 7 52.0 2 2.70 0.0 83 92 92 +9 3 French Trip 4 52.0 3 3.50 3.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Cape Eagle 7 62.5 4 4.10 0.0 109 112 112 +3 5 Imilenzeyokududuma 6 62.5 5 4.25 0.0 112 112 112 +0 6 Capsaicin 4 55.0 6 6.65 3.0 90 90 90 +0 7 Trois Trois Quatre 5 55.0 7 7.85 0.0 92 96 96 +4 8 Winter Games 4 59.5 8 10.05 3.0 100 99 99 -1 9 Narina Trogon 5 62.5 9 10.25 0.0 105 111 111 +6 10 Johnny The Thief 2 56.5 10 13.35 0.0 95 99 99 +4 11 Royal Victory 5 62.5 11 99.99 0.0 124 111 114 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Down By The River | 89 | 95 | 93 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queue Wing | 83 | 81 | 92 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | French Trip Line | 85 | 88 | 85 | +3 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Eagle | 109 | 106 | 112 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Imilenzeyokududuma | 112 | 109 | 112 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Capsaicin | 90 | 88 | 90 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Trois Trois Quatre | 92 | 87 | 96 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Winter Games | 100 | 103 | 99 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Narina Trogon | 105 | 102 | 111 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Johnny The Thief | 95 | 95 | 99 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Royal Victory | 124 | 124 | 114 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points