Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Indecent Proposal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Definitely Yes 2 58.5 1 0.00 3.5 66 72 72 +6 2 The Mask 2 61.0 2 0.25 3.5 72 77 77 +5 3 Indecent Proposal 4 56.5 3 3.15 6.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Yannakis 2 57.0 4 4.35 3.5 64 69 69 +5 5 Lunch Money 3 59.5 5 5.15 5.0 72 71 71 -1 6 Now I Got You 5 54.5 6 5.55 0.0 67 71 71 +4 7 One Irish Rover 5 58.5 7 5.60 0.0 67 79 79 +12 8 Counter Attack 3 60.0 8 5.85 5.0 70 72 72 +2 9 Polar Light 2 58.0 9 6.15 3.5 78 71 71 -7 10 Mask On 3 54.0 10 7.65 5.0 58 60 60 +2 11 Hamilton Hero 3 58.0 11 7.90 5.0 78 68 68 -10 12 Double Olympic 4 52.5 12 9.40 6.0 55 55 55 +0 13 Got The Word 2 52.0 13 10.00 3.5 54 59 59 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Definitely Yes | 66 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | The Mask | 72 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Indecent Proposal Line | 63 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Yannakis | 64 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lunch Money | 72 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Now I Got You | 67 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | One Irish Rover | 67 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Counter Attack | 70 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Polar Light | 78 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mask On | 58 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hamilton Hero | 78 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Double Olympic | 55 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Got The Word | 54 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points