Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Empire State
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Demanding Dave       2    58.5    1    0.00     3.5   99    96           96    -3
2    North Point          2    58.5    2    0.40     3.5   98    96           96    -2
3    Gold Giboski         2    56.0    3    0.50     3.5   93    91           91    -2
4    Empire State         3    61.5    4    0.80     5.0   99    99           99    +0
5    Raven Black          2    61.5    5    1.00     3.5   100   102          102   +2
6    Black Cheetah        2    57.0    6    1.75     3.5   97    93           93    -4
7    One Liner            2    57.0    7    2.05     3.5   88    93           93    +5
8    The Us Of A          3    62.5    8    2.35     5.0   104   101          101   -3
9    Golden Destiny       2    57.0    9    3.85     3.5   90    93           93    +3
10   Little Boy Blue      2    58.5    10   5.10     3.5   98    96           96    -2
11   Military Command     2    58.5    11   5.20     3.5   98    96           96    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Demanding Dave 99 102 96 +6 3.5 -
2 North Point 98 101 96 +5 3.5 -
3 Gold Giboski 93 93 91 +2 3.5 -
4 Empire State Line 99 99 99 ✓ Match 5.0
5 Raven Black 100 99 102 -3 3.5 -
6 Black Cheetah 97 91 93 -2 3.5 -
7 One Liner 88 88 93 -5 3.5 -
8 The Us Of A 104 104 101 +3 5.0 -
9 Golden Destiny 90 90 93 -3 3.5 -
10 Little Boy Blue 98 80 96 -16 3.5 -
11 Military Command 98 85 96 -11 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points