Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co.za MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Sikhulu
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fly The Coup         4    53.5    1    0.00     3.5   78    76           78    +0
2    Sikhulu              3    59.0    2    0.75     3.0   88    88           88    +0
3    Faustino             3    56.5    3    0.80     3.0   86    83           83    -3
4    Lunarcam             3    56.0    4    1.20     3.0   82    82           82    +0
5    Blaze Of Silk        7    58.0    5    1.80     0.0   82    92           92    +10
6    Herecomestherain     4    59.0    6    2.70     3.5   84    87           87    +3
7    It's About Time      3    61.0    7    3.70     3.0   92    92           92    +0
8    Modern Magician      3    54.5    8    5.30     3.0   79    79           79    +0
9    Good Rhythm          6    62.0    9    10.10    0.0   90    100          100   +10
99   Edgartown            3    53.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     76           76    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fly The Coup 78 81 78 +3 3.5 -
2 Sikhulu Line 88 94 88 +6 3.0
3 Faustino 86 82 83 -1 3.0 -
4 Lunarcam 82 106 82 +24 3.0 -
5 Blaze Of Silk 82 76 92 -16 0.0 -
6 Herecomestherain 84 55 87 -32 3.5 -
7 It's About Time 92 86 92 -6 3.0 -
8 Modern Magician 79 56 79 -23 3.0 -
9 Good Rhythm 90 85 100 -15 0.0 -
99 Edgartown - 57 76 -19 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points