Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST FM 73 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Crazy Blues
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Snow Tune 3 54.0 1 0.00 2.0 68 63 68 +0 2 There She Goes 6 60.5 2 1.10 0.0 79 84 84 +5 3 Crazy Blues 3 61.5 3 1.60 2.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Brunilda 5 58.5 4 2.65 0.0 70 78 78 +8 5 Desert Pride 4 57.5 5 2.75 1.0 68 74 74 +6 6 Lundy Island 4 54.5 6 3.00 1.0 70 68 68 -2 7 Lady Tiptree 3 58.5 7 3.25 2.0 75 74 74 -1 8 Kildonan Bay 5 50.5 8 4.15 0.0 57 61 61 +4 9 Maboneng 3 59.0 9 6.05 2.0 76 73 73 -3 99 Freedom's Fire 4 60.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snow Tune | 68 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | There She Goes | 79 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Crazy Blues Line | 81 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Brunilda | 70 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Desert Pride | 68 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lundy Island | 70 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Tiptree | 75 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kildonan Bay | 57 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Maboneng | 76 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Freedom's Fire | - | 62 | 78 | -16 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points