Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO HOLLYWOODBETS GREYVILLE OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Stampede Ahead
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nebulous 2 58.5 1 0.00 3.5 72 72 72 +0 2 Lou Lou 2 58.0 2 2.90 3.5 74 71 71 -3 3 Roy's Blossom 4 54.5 3 3.80 6.0 56 59 59 +3 4 Cartel Queen 2 57.5 4 5.50 3.5 70 70 70 +0 5 Stampede Ahead 2 58.5 5 6.70 3.5 72 72 72 +0 6 Jenny Darling 2 54.0 6 7.30 3.5 68 63 63 -5 7 Olive Grove 2 58.5 7 8.40 3.5 72 72 72 +0 8 Winter Miracle 3 58.0 8 10.50 5.0 64 68 68 +4 9 Predator's Suprise 3 50.0 9 13.50 5.0 56 52 52 -4 10 Catrien 3 55.0 10 14.80 5.0 65 62 62 -3 99 Snow Queen 2 61.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 78 78 +0 99 Rosa Osiria 3 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebulous | 72 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lou Lou | 74 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Roy's Blossom | 56 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cartel Queen | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Stampede Ahead Line | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 3.5 | ||
| 6 | Jenny Darling | 68 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Olive Grove | 72 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Winter Miracle | 64 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Predator's Suprise | 56 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Catrien | 65 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Snow Queen | - | 68 | 78 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Rosa Osiria | - | 57 | 56 | +1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points