Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: LAKESIDE HANDICAP (Open - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Anatolian Silver
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bad Medicine 3 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 89 87 89 +0 2 Juan Carlos 7 60.0 2 2.50 0.0 91 109 109 +18 3 Anatolian Silver 3 53.5 3 4.75 7.0 78 78 78 +0 4 George Handel 4 57.5 4 4.85 3.5 86 93 93 +7 5 Only A Poet 3 52.0 5 5.85 7.0 61 75 75 +14 6 Red William 5 57.5 6 8.35 0.0 86 100 100 +14 7 Home Reef 3 57.5 7 9.60 7.0 88 86 86 -2 8 Slainte Mhath 4 55.0 8 11.60 3.5 81 88 88 +7 9 Three Cheers 3 53.5 9 22.35 7.0 80 78 78 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bad Medicine | 89 | 100 | 89 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Juan Carlos | 91 | 93 | 109 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Anatolian Silver Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | George Handel | 86 | 85 | 93 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Only A Poet | 61 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Red William | 86 | 83 | 100 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Home Reef | 88 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Slainte Mhath | 81 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Three Cheers | 80 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points