Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: LEPAS C STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Miraculous
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whirlwind 3 54.5 1 0.00 5.0 78 70 70 -8 2 Midnight Lady 3 56.0 2 0.50 5.0 80 73 73 -7 3 Azzurri 4 60.0 3 1.00 6.0 77 79 79 +2 4 Spirit 2 61.5 4 1.05 3.5 86 87 87 +1 5 Miraculous 3 59.0 5 1.80 5.0 79 79 79 +0 6 Worldly 2 60.0 6 2.80 3.5 79 84 84 +5 7 Kelp Forest 5 62.5 7 2.90 0.0 82 96 96 +14 8 Street Outlaw 5 61.5 8 3.10 0.0 80 94 94 +14 9 Follow Your Heart 2 62.0 9 3.40 3.5 88 88 88 +0 10 Clair De Lune 2 59.0 10 3.45 3.5 86 82 82 -4 11 Paratrooper 4 58.5 11 4.20 6.0 73 76 76 +3 12 Rhydian 2 58.5 12 4.60 3.5 74 81 81 +7 13 Mauritius Kestrel 3 58.5 13 5.10 5.0 82 78 78 -4 14 Una The Unicorn 2 59.0 14 6.35 3.5 86 82 82 -4 15 Primal Instinct 3 61.5 15 6.75 5.0 85 84 84 -1 16 Steadfast 2 60.0 16 7.05 3.5 76 84 84 +8 17 Influence 3 60.0 17 8.55 5.0 83 81 81 -2 18 Run For Cover 5 61.5 18 8.95 0.0 78 94 94 +16 19 Elsinore 3 61.5 19 24.95 5.0 80 84 84 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whirlwind | 78 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Midnight Lady | 80 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Azzurri | 77 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Spirit | 86 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Miraculous Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 6 | Worldly | 79 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kelp Forest | 82 | 81 | 96 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Street Outlaw | 80 | 78 | 94 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Follow Your Heart | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Clair De Lune | 86 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Paratrooper | 73 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Rhydian | 74 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Mauritius Kestrel | 82 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Una The Unicorn | 86 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | Primal Instinct | 85 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 16 | Steadfast | 76 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 17 | Influence | 83 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 18 | Run For Cover | 78 | 70 | 94 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 19 | Elsinore | 80 | 80 | 84 | -4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points