Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SCHWEPPES WINCHESTER SPRINT CUP (For All Horses (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Teflon Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
9 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 All The Rage 2 54.0 1 0.00 3.5 109 107 107 -2 2 Teflon Man 4 54.0 2 0.75 6.0 102 102 102 +0 3 Future Variety 4 62.0 3 1.15 6.0 116 118 118 +2 4 Dance Variety 2 60.0 4 1.20 3.5 112 119 119 +7 5 Arctic Wizard 3 58.0 5 1.25 5.0 111 112 112 +1 6 Absolutely Yes 2 50.0 6 1.65 3.5 100 99 99 -1 7 The Us Of A 3 56.0 7 1.95 5.0 104 108 108 +4 8 Elusive Winter 4 56.0 8 2.25 6.0 104 106 106 +2 9 Meu Capitano 4 60.0 9 3.00 6.0 113 114 114 +1 10 Kaiboy 2 58.0 10 3.50 3.5 109 115 115 +6 11 Lucky Lad 4 62.0 11 4.25 6.0 122 118 118 -4 12 Surjay 3 62.0 12 5.50 5.0 122 120 120 -2 13 Cafe Culture 3 62.0 13 8.25 5.0 122 120 120 -2 14 Pistol Pete 3 62.0 14 8.65 5.0 119 120 120 +1 15 His Majesty (IRE) 5 56.0 15 10.15 0.0 107 118 118 +11 16 Good For You 2 54.0 16 12.40 3.5 110 107 107 -3 99 Three Tigers 2 50.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 99 99 +0 99 King Regent 3 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 108 112 108 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | All The Rage | 109 | 114 | 107 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Teflon Man Line | 102 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Future Variety | 116 | 116 | 118 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dance Variety | 112 | 114 | 119 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Arctic Wizard | 111 | 110 | 112 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Absolutely Yes | 100 | 99 | 99 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | The Us Of A | 104 | 104 | 108 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Elusive Winter | 104 | 104 | 106 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Meu Capitano | 113 | 111 | 114 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kaiboy | 109 | 108 | 115 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Lucky Lad | 122 | 118 | 118 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Surjay | 122 | 121 | 120 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Cafe Culture | 122 | 118 | 120 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Pistol Pete | 119 | 118 | 120 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | His Majesty (IRE) | 107 | 102 | 118 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Good For You | 110 | 110 | 107 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Three Tigers | - | 96 | 99 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | King Regent | 108 | 106 | 108 | -2 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points