Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACING240 FM 86 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Hot Sauce
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hope Chest 3 55.0 1 0.00 4.5 76 79 76 +0 2 Make Believe 2 54.0 2 0.50 3.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Hot Sauce 2 61.5 3 0.75 3.0 95 95 95 +0 4 Cherry Oh Baby 4 55.5 4 2.75 5.0 77 79 79 +2 5 Happy Wives 3 57.0 5 3.50 4.5 80 83 83 +3 6 Smashing 4 57.0 6 3.60 5.0 80 82 82 +2 7 Kings Again 2 58.5 7 3.70 3.0 83 89 89 +6 8 Paradise Way 2 49.5 8 3.95 3.0 79 71 71 -8 9 White Waters 2 54.0 9 4.95 3.0 74 80 80 +6 10 Strange Magic 5 48.5 10 7.45 0.0 71 75 75 +4 99 Are You Sure 2 53.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hope Chest | 76 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Make Believe | 80 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hot Sauce Line | 95 | 95 | 95 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Cherry Oh Baby | 77 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Happy Wives | 80 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Smashing | 80 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kings Again | 83 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Paradise Way | 79 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | White Waters | 74 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Strange Magic | 71 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Are You Sure | - | 64 | 78 | -14 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points