Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SA DERBY 4 APRIL FM 79 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lady Blunt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Duchess Of Paloma 3 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 77 77 77 +0 2 Special Star 2 56.5 2 4.40 0.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Lady Blunt 2 59.5 3 5.50 0.0 88 88 88 +0 4 Rosy Lemon 5 56.5 4 5.75 0.0 72 82 82 +10 5 Artic Silver 3 56.0 5 5.80 5.0 79 71 71 -8 6 Chickasaw 2 54.0 6 6.80 0.0 76 77 77 +1 7 Kensal Green 2 55.5 7 7.10 0.0 80 80 80 +0 8 Surprise Party 2 57.0 8 7.80 0.0 83 83 83 +0 9 Ariel's Jet 3 54.5 9 8.20 5.0 73 68 68 -5 99 Into Dancing 2 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Merryweather 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duchess Of Paloma | 77 | 91 | 77 | +14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Special Star | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Blunt Line | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Rosy Lemon | 72 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Artic Silver | 79 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chickasaw | 76 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kensal Green | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Surprise Party | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ariel's Jet | 73 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Into Dancing | - | 85 | 72 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Merryweather | - | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points