Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)

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Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sooty                4    61.0    1    0.00     2.0   72    63           63    -9
2    Dawn's Early Light   3    61.0    2    0.05     3.0   72    61           62    -10
3    Winter Pearl         6    59.5    3    0.45     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Jet A One            2    59.0    4    0.95     0.0   68    67           67    -1
5    Hiawatha Goldberg    2    54.0    5    1.45     0.0   58    56           56    -2
6    Firingonallengines   4    60.5    6    1.85     2.0   71    65           65    -6
7    Meet The King        3    61.5    7    2.25     3.0   80    65           70    -10
8    Shifting Path        2    57.5    8    3.00     0.0   65    62           62    -3
9    Ischyro              3    52.5    9    4.25     3.0   55    45           45    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sooty 72 75 63 +12 2.0 -
2 Dawn's Early Light 72 72 62 +10 3.0 -
3 Winter Pearl Line 69 71 69 +2 0.0
4 Jet A One 68 69 67 +2 0.0 -
5 Hiawatha Goldberg 58 57 56 +1 0.0 -
6 Firingonallengines 71 69 65 +4 2.0 -
7 Meet The King 80 78 70 +8 3.0 -
8 Shifting Path 65 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 Ischyro 55 54 45 +9 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points